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How Australia’s transport system might work in the lead up to the year 2040 is shown in a series of snapshots which reveal the transformational impact of factors like automated vehicles, better real-time data and analytics, more riding sharing and changes in consumer preferences.

NTC releases possible new scenarios for Australia’s transport future

13 October 2016

How Australia’s transport system might work in the lead up to the year 2040 is shown in a series of snapshots which reveal the transformational impact of factors like automated vehicles, better real-time data and analytics, more riding sharing and changes in consumer preferences.

These scenarios are explored in new papers which are part of the National Transport Commission’s Land Transport Regulation 2040 work that were released by the National Transport Commission (NTC) today.

The papers were released to coincide with the ITS World Congress being held in Melbourne this week, and paint four different but plausible scenarios of what the transformational changes might mean in practice.

Chief executive of the NTC Paul Retter said because Australia was set to see the biggest change in transport since cars replaced horses, both industry and government organisations should increasingly prepare for uncertainty and look for new ways to encourage innovation.

“These four scenarios are not predictions of the future, but they help industry, governments and the community examine the implications of changes in automation, data sharing, shared mobility and consumer demand,” Mr Retter said.

“Different sectors of the economy and the regulations that guide them go through long periods of stability followed by short periods of significant change.

“This work will help stakeholders start developing responses to the opportunities and challenges Australia’s transport system is likely to face in the future.

“For us this work will help us develop reform projects to make sure we have the right kinds of transport laws at each stage of this period of transformational change.”

In addition to the scenarios the papers also set out a number of questions that governments will need to answer as transport systems are transformed 

  • Should governments regulate ahead of the adoption curve?
  • Could or should governments transition all transport laws to a safety management system approach? and,
  • Does the way our regulations are structured impact on new products and services?

Mr Retter said the Land Transport Regulation 2040 work was consistent with the increasing move to more strategic and bolder reform role recommended in the NTC review released last year.

A copy of the papers is available at http://www.ntc.gov.au/topics/technology/land-transport-regulation-2040/

 

Last Updated: 18/11/2016